Pakhtakor II vs Kattaqurgon: prediction and stats
Pro League ARegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Kattaqurgon the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Pakhtakor II. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pakhtakor II vs Kattaqurgon?
Kattaqurgon starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,586 vs 1,434).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pakhtakor II have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; Kattaqurgon have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Yaypan(away) | 0-2 | Pro League A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lochin(home) | 2-1 | Pro League A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FarDu(away) | 1-5 | Pro League A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kattaqurgon(away) | 0-2 | Pro League A |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Olimpik-Mobiuz(home) | 1-4 | Pro League A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Gazalkent(home) | 2-4 | Pro League A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shortan(away) | 0-1 | Pro League A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jayxun(home) | 2-1 | Pro League A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Pakhtakor II(home) | 2-0 | Pro League A |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Qiziriq(away) | 2-0 | Pro League A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Pakhtakor II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kattaqurgon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kattaqurgon 2-0 Pakhtakor II | Pro League A |
Last archived meeting: Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II on Aug 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pakhtakor II score 0.7 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kattaqurgon score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pakhtakor II | 0.7 | 2.5 | 0 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Kattaqurgon | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pakhtakor II sit 13th in Pro League A (7 points from 16 matches) and Kattaqurgon sit 3rd (30 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kattaqurgon | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 30 |
| 5 | Kattaqurgon | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
| 13 | Pakhtakor II | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 39 | 7 |
| 14 | Pakhtakor II | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pakhtakor II vs Kattaqurgon?
- The Footlab model makes Kattaqurgon the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Pakhtakor II.
- Where and when is Pakhtakor II vs Kattaqurgon played?
- Pakhtakor II vs Kattaqurgon is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Pro League A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.