Metalourg vs Aral: prediction and stats
Pro League ARegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Metallurg Markaziy Stadion, Bekabad
The Footlab AI model makes Metalourg the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Aral. The most likely score is 1-1. If Metalourg wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metalourg vs Aral?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Metalourg (1,694) and Aral (1,725).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Metalourg vs Aral
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Metalourg
4-3-3- ZZ. Urinboev
- DD. Sharipov
- SS. Mavlonov
- MM. Milićković
- SS. Gofurbekov
- KK. Palić
- OO. Kucherenko
- AA. Pirmuhamedov
- II. Shaykulov
- OOdilbek Abdumajidov
- RR. Davronov
Aral
Not enough data to predict the Aral lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 10:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalourg have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Aral have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | FarDu(away) | 1-0 | Pro League A |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Shortan(home) | 1-1 | Pro League A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Jayxun(home) | 1-0 | Pro League A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Pakhtakor II(home) | 1-0 | Pro League A |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Olimpik-Mobiuz(away) | 3-2 | Pro League A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Jayxun(home) | 2-0 | Pro League A |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Pakhtakor II(away) | 2-1 | Pro League A |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Yaypan(away) | 5-2 | Pro League A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lochin(home) | 2-0 | Pro League A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | FarDu(away) | 1-1 | Pro League A |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Metalourg wins, 0 draws, 1 Aral win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Aral 1-0 Metalourg | Pro League A |
How many goals should we expect?
Metalourg score 2.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aral score 2.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalourg | 2.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Aral | 2.0 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metalourg sit 2nd in Pro League A (47 points from 23 matches) and Aral sit 1st (58 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aral | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 49 | 14 | 58 |
| 2 | Metalourg | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 17 | 47 |
A question about Metalourg vs Aral?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metalourg vs Aral?
- The Footlab AI model makes Metalourg the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Aral.
- Where and when is Metalourg vs Aral played?
- Metalourg vs Aral is played on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Metallurg Markaziy Stadion, in the Pro League A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.