Palermo vs Mantova: result 5-2 and analysis
Coppa ItaliaRound of 32Kick-off on September 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
Full time
What was the result of Palermo vs Mantova?
Palermo won 5-2 on September 3, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 9′Gabriel StrefezzaPalermo
- 45′A. PalumboPalermo (pen.)
- 52′F. RuoccoMantova
- 55′R. KoudaMantova
- 70′J. PohjanpaloPalermo
- 89′D. JohnsenPalermo
- 90′J. PohjanpaloPalermo
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Palermo win at 58%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 5-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Palermo vs Mantova
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Palermo
4-2-3-1- 99A. Gabrielloni
- 9D. Vavassori
- 5A. Palumbo
- 7Gabriel Strefezza
- 24N. Estévez
- 6C. Gomes
- 33A. Bozzolan
- 93F. Barba
- 96G. Magnani
- 84T. Cassandro
- 14M. Fortin
Mantova
3-4-2-1- 9E. Gliozzi
- 8R. Ilie
- 71Federico Chinetti
- 50F. Benaissa-Yahia
- 25L. Ignacchiti
- 21S. Trimboli
- 11I. Cajazzo
- 27A. Castellini
- 29S. Cella
- 58Tommaso Del Lungo
- 22F. Bardi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palermo have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Mantova have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Lecce(home) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Melbourne City(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carrarese(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Legnago Salus(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Palermo win, 3 draws, 0 Mantova wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Palermo 2-1 Mantova | Serie B |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Mantova 1-1 Palermo | Serie B |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Palermo 2-2 Mantova | Serie B |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Mantova 0-0 Palermo | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Palermo score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mantova score 2.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Mantova | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Palermo vs Mantova?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy