Sudtirol vs Mantova: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marco Druso, Bozen
The Footlab model makes Sudtirol the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Mantova. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sudtirol vs Mantova?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Sudtirol (1,800) and Mantova (1,865).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sudtirol have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Mantova have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Virtus Entella(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Virtus Verona(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Bari(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carrarese(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Legnago Salus(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 6-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sudtirol win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Mantova win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Sudtirol 0-3 Mantova | Serie B |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Mantova 1-1 Sudtirol | Serie B |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Mantova 2-0 Sudtirol | Serie B |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Sudtirol 2-2 Mantova | Serie B |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Sudtirol 2-2 Mantova | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Sudtirol 1-0 Mantova | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Sudtirol score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Mantova score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol | 0.7 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Mantova | 2.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sudtirol sit 7th in Serie B (3 points from 1 matches) and Mantova sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mantova | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sudtirol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sudtirol vs Mantova?
- The Footlab model makes Sudtirol the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Mantova.
- Where and when is Sudtirol vs Mantova played?
- Sudtirol vs Mantova is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marco Druso, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.