Sudtirol vs Mantova: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marco Druso, Bozen
The Footlab AI model makes Mantova the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Sudtirol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mantova wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sudtirol vs Mantova?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Sudtirol (1,825) and Mantova (1,873).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sudtirol vs Mantova
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sudtirol
5-4-1- 90A. Okoro
- 11Vasco Lopes
- 5S. Tronchin
- 10Fabio Rispoli
- 14A. Vasic
- 55A. Giorgini
- 4R. Stivanello
- 79S. Molina
- 27G. Stabile
- 24S. Davì
- 22A. Plizzari
Mantova
3-4-2-1- 30D. Bragantini
- 50F. Benaissa-Yahia
- 8R. Ilie
- 25L. Ignacchiti
- 19F. Ruocco
- 41Jonathan Silva
- 80R. Kouda
- 29S. Cella
- 27A. Castellini
- 5B. Tomašević
- 22F. Bardi
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sudtirol have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Mantova have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Modena(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pisa(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cesena(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sudtirol win, 3 draws, 2 Mantova wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Sudtirol 0-3 Mantova | Serie B |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Mantova 1-1 Sudtirol | Serie B |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Mantova 2-0 Sudtirol | Serie B |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Sudtirol 2-2 Mantova | Serie B |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Sudtirol 2-2 Mantova | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Sudtirol 1-0 Mantova | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Sudtirol score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mantova score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Mantova | 2.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sudtirol sit 4th in Serie B (12 points from 6 matches) and Mantova sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mantova | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Sudtirol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
A question about Sudtirol vs Mantova?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sudtirol vs Mantova?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mantova the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Sudtirol.
- Where and when is Sudtirol vs Mantova played?
- Sudtirol vs Mantova is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marco Druso, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.