Paloma vs Buchholz: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 28Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 08:45 AM (UTC)Jonny Rehbein Sportplatz, Hamburg
The Footlab AI model makes Paloma the favourite at 62%, against 17% for a draw and 21% for Buchholz. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paloma vs Buchholz?
Paloma starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,955 vs 1,777).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paloma vs Buchholz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paloma
4-3-3- 10V. Galica
- 9D. Schiemann
- 15Torben Hindersmann
- 6C. Wegner
- 19M. Krause
- 13A. Graf
- 8H. Brückner
- 14Tore Gersch
- 17Sven Drews
- 7F. Kramer
- 1Y. Jonas
Buchholz
Not enough data to predict the Buchholz lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paloma have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Buchholz have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Buchholz(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 4, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Paloma(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(away) | 3-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Harksheide(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Altona 93(home) | 5-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Paloma wins, 1 draw, 2 Buchholz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Buchholz 2-4 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 9, 2026 | Buchholz 4-0 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Paloma 5-0 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Buchholz 2-3 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Paloma 1-4 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Buchholz 0-0 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
Paloma score 2.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Buchholz score 2.3 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 85% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paloma | 2.8 | 2.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 15/15 |
| Buchholz | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paloma sit 5th in Oberliga - Hamburg (61 points from 34 matches) and Buchholz sit 12th (44 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Paloma | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 84 | 50 | 61 |
| 12 | Buchholz | 34 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 87 | 80 | 44 |
A question about Paloma vs Buchholz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paloma vs Buchholz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paloma the favourite at 62%, against 17% for a draw and 21% for Buchholz.
- Where and when is Paloma vs Buchholz played?
- Paloma vs Buchholz is played on April 4, 2027 at 08:45 AM (UTC) at Jonny Rehbein Sportplatz, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 85% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.