Pinneberg vs Sasel: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 28Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Pinneberg the favourite at 47%, against 21% for a draw and 32% for Sasel. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pinneberg vs Sasel?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Pinneberg (1,771) and Sasel (1,772).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pinneberg vs Sasel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pinneberg
Not enough data to predict the Pinneberg lineup.
Sasel
Not enough data to predict the Sasel lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Pinneberg have 5 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Sasel have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sasel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Süderelbe(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 27, 2026 | HEBC(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pinneberg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 20, 2026 | HT16(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Pinneberg wins, 1 draw, 0 Sasel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sasel 1-1 Pinneberg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
Pinneberg score 2.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 12; Sasel score 1.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinneberg | 2.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/11 | 9/11 |
| Sasel | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sasel | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 88 | 50 |
A question about Pinneberg vs Sasel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pinneberg vs Sasel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pinneberg the favourite at 47%, against 21% for a draw and 32% for Sasel.
- Where and when is Pinneberg vs Sasel played?
- Pinneberg vs Sasel is played on April 4, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.