Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis, Athína (Athens)
The Footlab AI model makes Panathinaikos the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Asteras Tripolis. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?
Panathinaikos is a heavy favourite: 2,174 Elo points against 1,871, a 303-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Panathinaikos
4-2-3-1- 7A. Tetteh
- 22E. Camara
- 10Santino Andino
- 42K. Kangwa
- 99L. García
- 21A. Ounahi
- 55R. van Drongelen
- 77G. Kiriakopoulos
- 6S. de Vrij
- 2D. Calabria
- 1Iñaki Peña
Asteras Tripolis
3-4-3- 11K. Ketu
- 7J. Bartolo
- 9F. Macheda
- 27G. Kotsiras
- 10Eder González
- 28Alex Méndez
- 21D. Kourbelis
- 32J. Silva
- 16F. Brorsson
- 74D. Laskaris
- 1N. Papadopoulos
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panathinaikos have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Asteras Tripolis have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kalamata(away) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kifisia(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Panetolikos(home) | 3-0 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 3-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | PAOK(home) | 3-1 | Super League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | OFI(away) | 2-2 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Niki Volos(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 1-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Iraklis 1908(home) | 0-2 | Super League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Panathinaikos wins, 0 draws, 1 Asteras Tripolis win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis 1-2 Panathinaikos | Super League 1 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Panathinaikos 2-0 Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Asteras Tripolis 0-1 Panathinaikos | Super League 1 |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Panathinaikos 0-1 Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Panathinaikos 2-0 Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 |
| Sep 28, 2023 | Asteras Tripolis 1-4 Panathinaikos | Super League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Asteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Panathinaikos score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Asteras Tripolis score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 2.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Asteras Tripolis | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Panathinaikos sit 1st in Super League 1 (15 points from 5 matches) and Asteras Tripolis sit 12th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 15 |
| 12 | Asteras Tripolis | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
A question about Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Panathinaikos the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Asteras Tripolis.
- Where and when is Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis played?
- Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.