Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Panetolikou, Agrinio
The Footlab model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Panetolikos. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Olympiakos Piraeus is a heavy favourite: 2,098 Elo points against 1,772 — a 326-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panetolikos have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Olympiakos Piraeus have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 3-1 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kalamata(away) | 2-4 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Estac Troyes(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 1-2 | Super League 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Panserraikos(away) | 1-1 | Super League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atromitos(home) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Panetolikos win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Olympiakos Piraeus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus 2-0 Panetolikos | Super League 1 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Panetolikos 0-1 Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 |
| Jan 6, 2025 | Panetolikos 0-2 Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Olympiakos Piraeus 0-0 Panetolikos | Super League 1 |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Panetolikos 1-2 Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Olympiakos Piraeus 3-1 Panetolikos | Super League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panetolikos on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Panetolikos score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Olympiakos Piraeus score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panetolikos | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Panetolikos sit 3rd in Super League 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Olympiakos Piraeus sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Panetolikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
- The Footlab model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Panetolikos.
- Where and when is Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus played?
- Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Panetolikou, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.