Panetolikos vs AEK Athens FC: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Panetolikou, Agrinio
The Footlab model makes AEK Athens FC the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Panetolikos. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Panetolikos vs AEK Athens FC?
AEK Athens FC is a heavy favourite: 2,122 Elo points against 1,774, a 349-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panetolikos have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; AEK Athens FC have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 3-1 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kalamata(away) | 2-4 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Estac Troyes(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 1-2 | Super League 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Panserraikos(away) | 1-1 | Super League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Iraklis 1908(home) | 4-0 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | OFI(home) | 2-2 | Super Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kallithea(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Panetolikos win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 AEK Athens FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | Panetolikos 0-5 AEK Athens FC | Super League 1 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | AEK Athens FC 1-0 Panetolikos | Super League 1 |
| Sep 24, 2025 | AEK Athens FC 2-1 Panetolikos | Cup |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AEK Athens FC 1-0 Panetolikos | Super League 1 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Panetolikos 1-0 AEK Athens FC | Super League 1 |
| Dec 18, 2023 | Panetolikos 2-2 AEK Athens FC | Super League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Panetolikos vs AEK Athens FC on Dec 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Panetolikos score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; AEK Athens FC score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panetolikos | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| AEK Athens FC | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Panetolikos sit 3rd in Super League 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and AEK Athens FC sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Panetolikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Panetolikos vs AEK Athens FC?
- The Footlab model makes AEK Athens FC the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Panetolikos.
- Where and when is Panetolikos vs AEK Athens FC played?
- Panetolikos vs AEK Athens FC is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Panetolikou, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.