Panathinaikos vs Atromitos: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis, Athína (Athens)
The Footlab model makes Panathinaikos the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Atromitos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Panathinaikos vs Atromitos?
Panathinaikos starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,866).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panathinaikos have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Atromitos have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Hradec Králové(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Paks(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Paks(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-1 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Pyrgos 1968(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Aris(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Panserraikos(home) | 6-0 | Super League 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Larisa(away) | 1-2 | Super League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Panathinaikos win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Atromitos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Atromitos 0-0 Panathinaikos | Super League 1 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Atromitos 1-2 Panathinaikos | Cup |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Panathinaikos 1-0 Atromitos | Super League 1 |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Atromitos 1-1 Panathinaikos | Super League 1 |
| Jan 8, 2025 | Panathinaikos 2-1 Atromitos | Cup |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Atromitos 1-2 Panathinaikos | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Atromitos vs Panathinaikos on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Panathinaikos score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atromitos score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Atromitos | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Atromitos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Panathinaikos vs Atromitos?
- The Footlab model makes Panathinaikos the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Atromitos.
- Where and when is Panathinaikos vs Atromitos played?
- Panathinaikos vs Atromitos is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.