Pantanal vs Bataguassu: prediction and stats
Sul-MatogrossenseMatchday 3Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Vicente Fortunato
The Footlab AI model makes Pantanal the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Bataguassu. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pantanal wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pantanal vs Bataguassu?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Pantanal (1,470) and Bataguassu (1,464).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pantanal vs Bataguassu
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pantanal
Not enough data to predict the Pantanal lineup.
Bataguassu
Not enough data to predict the Bataguassu lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pantanal have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Bataguassu have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Ivinhema(home) | 2-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | CR Aquidauana(away) | 0-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Ji-Paraná(away) | 0-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Bataguassu(away) | 1-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Naviraiense(home) | 2-3 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Operario Ferroviario(away) | 1-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Operario Ferroviario(home) | 1-3 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Naviraiense(away) | 4-0 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Naviraiense(home) | 0-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Ivinhema(away) | 3-4 | Sul-Matogrossense |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Pantanal wins, 1 draw, 0 Bataguassu wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | Bataguassu 1-1 Pantanal | Sul-Matogrossense |
Last archived meeting: Bataguassu vs Pantanal on Feb 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pantanal score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Bataguassu score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pantanal | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Bataguassu | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pantanal sit 8th in Sul-Matogrossense (9 points from 9 matches) and Bataguassu sit 5th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bataguassu | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
| 8 | Pantanal | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 9 |
A question about Pantanal vs Bataguassu?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pantanal vs Bataguassu?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pantanal the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Bataguassu.
- Where and when is Pantanal vs Bataguassu played?
- Pantanal vs Bataguassu is played on January 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Vicente Fortunato, in the Sul-Matogrossense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.