Comercial MS vs CR Aquidauana: prediction and stats
Sul-MatogrossenseMatchday 3Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Estadual Jacques da Luz, Campo Grande, Mato Grosso do Sul
The Footlab AI model makes Comercial MS the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for CR Aquidauana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Comercial MS wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Comercial MS vs CR Aquidauana?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Comercial MS (1,379) and CR Aquidauana (1,463).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Comercial MS vs CR Aquidauana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Comercial MS
4-3-3- VValderlei Saldanha Araújo
- UUelison
- NNilson Diego Ferrerra
- LLucas Romeiro Alves
- AAnderson Ferreira Gibran
- SSousa
- DDavid Lopes
- LLeonardo
- JJeferson
- FFabricio Lopes de Souza
- AAdailson Martins
CR Aquidauana
Not enough data to predict the CR Aquidauana lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 05:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Comercial MS have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; CR Aquidauana have 2, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | Operario Ferroviario(away) | 0-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Costa Rica (home) | 2-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 2, 2023 | Chapadão(home) | 0-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Coxim(away) | 0-0 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Chapadão(away) | 1-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Dourados Atlético(away) | 3-3 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Pantanal(home) | 2-0 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Ivinhema(away) | 0-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Águia Negra(away) | 3-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Corumbaense(home) | 1-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
How many goals should we expect?
Comercial MS score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; CR Aquidauana score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comercial MS | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| CR Aquidauana | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1 | 6/9 | 4/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | CR Aquidauana | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
A question about Comercial MS vs CR Aquidauana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Comercial MS vs CR Aquidauana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Comercial MS the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for CR Aquidauana.
- Where and when is Comercial MS vs CR Aquidauana played?
- Comercial MS vs CR Aquidauana is played on January 24, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Estadual Jacques da Luz, in the Sul-Matogrossense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.