Poseidon Nea Michaniona vs Kilkisiakos: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 2Group 2 - 3Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gipedo Podosferou, Nea Michaniona
The Footlab model makes Poseidon Nea Michaniona the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Kilkisiakos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poseidon Nea Michaniona vs Kilkisiakos?
Poseidon Nea Michaniona starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,606 vs 1,505).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poseidon Nea Michaniona have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Kilkisiakos have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(home) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Aetos Orfani(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Iraklis Therm.(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Panthrakikos(away) | 1-6 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Xanthi FC(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | PAO Kristoni(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Apollon Krya Vrysi(away) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | PAOK Dytiko(home) | 5-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Thermaikos Thermis(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Orestis Orestiadas(home) | 4-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Poseidon Nea Michaniona win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Kilkisiakos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona 2-0 Kilkisiakos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Kilkisiakos 0-0 Poseidon Nea Michaniona | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona 2-1 Kilkisiakos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Kilkisiakos 0-0 Poseidon Nea Michaniona | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Poseidon Nea Michaniona vs Kilkisiakos on Dec 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Poseidon Nea Michaniona score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kilkisiakos score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poseidon Nea Michaniona | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Kilkisiakos | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poseidon Nea Michaniona vs Kilkisiakos?
- The Footlab model makes Poseidon Nea Michaniona the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Kilkisiakos.
- Where and when is Poseidon Nea Michaniona vs Kilkisiakos played?
- Poseidon Nea Michaniona vs Kilkisiakos is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gipedo Podosferou, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.