Paranoá vs Real FC: prediction and stats
BrasilienseMatchday 4Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Juscelino Kubitschek, Paranoá, Distrito Federal
The Footlab AI model makes Real FC the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Paranoá. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real FC wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,188 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paranoá vs Real FC?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Paranoá (1,425) and Real FC (1,417).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paranoá vs Real FC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paranoá
Not enough data to predict the Paranoá lineup.
Real FC
4-3-3- MMatheus Alemão
- EEmanuel Baitler
- GGuilherme Costa Macedo
- MMatheus Dias
- JJuan Alves
- RRaphael
- GGabriel Lima
- CCaio Mendes
- FFelipe Mendes
- DDavi Silva
- LLeonardo Lovo Teles
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 02:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paranoá have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Real FC have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Samambaia(home) | 0-6 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Ceilândia(away) | 1-4 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Brasiliense(home) | 0-1 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Real FC(away) | 5-4 | Brasiliense |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Gama(away) | 1-4 | Brasiliense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | ARUC(away) | 4-1 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Brasília(away) | 2-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 0-3 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Paranoá(home) | 4-5 | Brasiliense |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Ceilândia(away) | 0-2 | Brasiliense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Paranoá wins, 2 draws, 1 Real FC win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Real FC 4-5 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Paranoá 2-1 Real FC | Brasiliense |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Paranoá 2-1 Real FC | Brasiliense |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Real FC 1-1 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Paranoá 1-1 Real FC | Brasiliense |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Paranoá 1-3 Real FC | Brasiliense |
How many goals should we expect?
Paranoá score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real FC score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paranoá | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Real FC | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paranoá sit 8th in Brasiliense (6 points from 9 matches) and Real FC sit 7th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Real FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 10 |
| 8 | Paranoá | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 6 |
A question about Paranoá vs Real FC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paranoá vs Real FC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real FC the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Paranoá.
- Where and when is Paranoá vs Real FC played?
- Paranoá vs Real FC is played on January 23, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Juscelino Kubitschek, in the Brasiliense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.