Taguatinga EC vs Samambaia: prediction and stats
BrasilienseMatchday 4Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Taguatinga EC the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Samambaia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Taguatinga EC wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,700 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Taguatinga EC vs Samambaia?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Taguatinga EC (1,531) and Samambaia (1,530).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Taguatinga EC vs Samambaia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Taguatinga EC
Not enough data to predict the Taguatinga EC lineup.
Samambaia
Not enough data to predict the Samambaia lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Taguatinga EC have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Samambaia have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Canaa EC(away) | 2-2 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Legião(home) | 0-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Legião(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Legião(away) | 1-1 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Luziânia(home) | 2-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 0-1 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Paranoá(away) | 6-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 3-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 12, 2026 | ARUC(away) | 3-0 | Brasiliense |
How many goals should we expect?
Taguatinga EC score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Samambaia score 1.6 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taguatinga EC | 1.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Samambaia | 1.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Samambaia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 20 |
A question about Taguatinga EC vs Samambaia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Taguatinga EC vs Samambaia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Taguatinga EC the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Samambaia.
- Where and when is Taguatinga EC vs Samambaia played?
- Taguatinga EC vs Samambaia is played on January 23, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Brasiliense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.