Paris FC vs Strasbourg: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
The Footlab model makes Paris FC the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Strasbourg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paris FC vs Strasbourg?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Paris FC (2,013) and Strasbourg (2,018).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paris FC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Strasbourg have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Angers(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Reims(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 0-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SC Freiburg(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Paris FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Strasbourg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Strasbourg 0-0 Paris FC | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Paris FC 2-3 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 30, 2015 | Strasbourg 2-1 Paris FC | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 22, 2014 | Paris FC 1-1 Strasbourg | Ligue 3 |
| Mar 1, 2014 | Strasbourg 0-2 Paris FC | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 13, 2013 | Paris FC 2-0 Strasbourg | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Strasbourg vs Paris FC on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paris FC score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Strasbourg score 1.2 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Strasbourg | 1.2 | 2.6 | 0 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Strasbourg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paris FC vs Strasbourg?
- The Footlab model makes Paris FC the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Strasbourg.
- Where and when is Paris FC vs Strasbourg played?
- Paris FC vs Strasbourg is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jean Bouin, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.