Parma vs AC Milan: result 4-5 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 14, 2014 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
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What was the result of Parma vs AC Milan?
AC Milan won 4-5 on September 14, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 25′G. BonaventuraAC Milan
- 27′Antonio CassanoParma
- 37′Keisuke HondaAC Milan
- 45′J. MénezAC Milan (pen.)
- 51′FelipeParma
- 68′Nigel de JongAC Milan
- 73′Alessandro LucarelliParma
- 79′J. MénezAC Milan
- 89′M. De SciglioParma (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parma have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; AC Milan have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2014 | Cesena(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 18, 2014 | Livorno(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| May 11, 2014 | Torino(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 4, 2014 | Sampdoria(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Apr 27, 2014 | Cagliari(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2014 | Lazio(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| May 18, 2014 | Sassuolo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 11, 2014 | Atalanta(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| May 4, 2014 | Inter(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Apr 25, 2014 | AS Roma(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Parma win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 AC Milan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2014 | AC Milan 2-4 Parma | Serie A |
| Oct 27, 2013 | Parma 3-2 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Feb 15, 2013 | AC Milan 2-1 Parma | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Parma 1-1 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Mar 17, 2012 | Parma 0-2 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Oct 26, 2011 | AC Milan 4-1 Parma | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Parma score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; AC Milan score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| AC Milan | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Parma sit 16th in Serie A (0 points from 1 matches) and AC Milan sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AC Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Parma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy