Parma vs AC Milan: result 3-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 27, 2013 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
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What was the result of Parma vs AC Milan?
Parma won 3-2 on October 27, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 11′M. ParoloParma
- 45′Antonio CassanoParma
- 61′A. MatriAC Milan
- 63′Matías Agustín SilvestreAC Milan
- 90′M. ParoloParma
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parma have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; AC Milan have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2013 | Hellas Verona(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 6, 2013 | Sassuolo(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 30, 2013 | Fiorentina(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2013 | Atalanta(home) | 4-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2013 | Catania(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2013 | Barcelona(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Udinese(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 6, 2013 | Juventus(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2013 | Ajax(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Sampdoria(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Parma win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 AC Milan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2013 | AC Milan 2-1 Parma | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Parma 1-1 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Mar 17, 2012 | Parma 0-2 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Oct 26, 2011 | AC Milan 4-1 Parma | Serie A |
| Feb 12, 2011 | AC Milan 4-0 Parma | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2010 | Parma 0-1 AC Milan | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Parma score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; AC Milan score 1.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| AC Milan | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Parma sit 16th in Serie A (0 points from 1 matches) and AC Milan sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AC Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Parma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy