Parma vs AC Milan: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 20, 2019 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Full time
What was the result of Parma vs AC Milan?
Parma and AC Milan drew 1-1 on April 20, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 69′Samu CastillejoAC Milan
- 87′Bruno Eduardo Regufe AlvesParma
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parma have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; AC Milan have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2019 | Sassuolo(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Apr 6, 2019 | Torino(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Apr 3, 2019 | Frosinone(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Mar 31, 2019 | Atalanta(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Mar 17, 2019 | Lazio(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2019 | Lazio(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Apr 6, 2019 | Juventus(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Apr 2, 2019 | Udinese(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Sampdoria(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Mar 17, 2019 | Inter(home) | 2-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Parma win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 AC Milan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2018 | AC Milan 2-1 Parma | Serie A |
| Feb 1, 2015 | AC Milan 3-1 Parma | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Parma 4-5 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Mar 16, 2014 | AC Milan 2-4 Parma | Serie A |
| Oct 27, 2013 | Parma 3-2 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Feb 15, 2013 | AC Milan 2-1 Parma | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Parma score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; AC Milan score 1.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| AC Milan | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Parma sit 16th in Serie A (0 points from 1 matches) and AC Milan sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AC Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Parma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy