Pasaia KE vs R. Union B: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol Jesus Mari Zamora, Errenteria
The Footlab AI model makes R. Union B the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Pasaia KE. The most likely score is 1-1. If R. Union B wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,364 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pasaia KE vs R. Union B?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Pasaia KE (1,590) and R. Union B (1,688).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pasaia KE vs R. Union B
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pasaia KE
Not enough data to predict the Pasaia KE lineup.
R. Union B
Not enough data to predict the R. Union B lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 09:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pasaia KE have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; R. Union B have 2, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Lagun Onak(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Derio(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Durango(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Beasain(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Derio(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Durango(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Santurtzi(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Pasaia KE score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; R. Union B score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pasaia KE | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| R. Union B | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1 | 5/10 | 4/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pasaia KE sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (10 points from 10 matches) and R. Union B sit 14th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | R. Union B | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
| 15 | Pasaia KE | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 10 |
A question about Pasaia KE vs R. Union B?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pasaia KE vs R. Union B?
- The Footlab AI model makes R. Union B the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Pasaia KE.
- Where and when is Pasaia KE vs R. Union B played?
- Pasaia KE vs R. Union B is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Jesus Mari Zamora, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.