Eibar III vs Pasaia KE: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa, Eibar
The Footlab AI model makes Eibar III the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Pasaia KE. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eibar III vs Pasaia KE?
On Elo ratings, Eibar III has 1,736 points and Pasaia KE 1,650.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eibar III vs Pasaia KE
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eibar III
Not enough data to predict the Eibar III lineup.
Pasaia KE
Not enough data to predict the Pasaia KE lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 05:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eibar III have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Pasaia KE have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Santurtzi(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | San Ignacio(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Sociedad III(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Leioa(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Durango(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Beasain(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Santurtzi(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Ignacio(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Eibar III wins, 2 draws, 0 Pasaia KE wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Eibar III 3-0 Pasaia KE | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Pasaia KE 1-2 Eibar III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Pasaia KE 1-1 Eibar III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Eibar III 2-2 Pasaia KE | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Eibar III vs Pasaia KE on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eibar III score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pasaia KE score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar III | 2.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Pasaia KE | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eibar III sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (8 points from 7 matches) and Pasaia KE sit 12th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pasaia KE | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 10 |
| 13 | Eibar III | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Eibar III vs Pasaia KE?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eibar III vs Pasaia KE?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eibar III the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Pasaia KE.
- Where and when is Eibar III vs Pasaia KE played?
- Eibar III vs Pasaia KE is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.