PAU vs Montpellier: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 26Kick-off on March 19, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Nouste Camp, Bizanos
The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for PAU. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montpellier wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,395 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PAU vs Montpellier?
Montpellier starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,917 vs 1,793).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for PAU vs Montpellier
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
PAU
5-3-2- 9B. Leye
- 7H. Benali
- 21J. Benet
- 6C. Fall
- 19T. Saettel
- 2T. Pouilly
- 29G. Paquiez
- 97A. Abdallah
- 23A. Briançon
- 88A. Bamba
- 1B. Maubleu
Montpellier
4-2-3-1- 11M. Camara
- 18N. Pays
- 19N. Mukiele
- 5F. Tardieu
- 44T. Chennahi
- 40N. Vidal-Cartoux
- 15J. Laporte
- 17T. Sainte-Luce
- 27D. Meddah
- 58A. Sissoko
- 31S. Ngapandouetnbu
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PAU have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Montpellier have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Laval(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Dunkerque(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Montpellier(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Sochaux(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Reims(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | PAU(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 PAU wins, 1 draw, 1 Montpellier win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Montpellier 1-0 PAU | Ligue 2 |
| Mar 20, 2026 | PAU 0-0 Montpellier | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Montpellier 0-1 PAU | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 6, 2023 | PAU 2-1 Montpellier | Coupe de France |
How many goals should we expect?
PAU score 1.2 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Montpellier score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAU | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Montpellier | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PAU sit 8th in Ligue 2 (11 points from 8 matches) and Montpellier sit 3rd (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Montpellier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | PAU | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
A question about PAU vs Montpellier?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PAU vs Montpellier?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for PAU.
- Where and when is PAU vs Montpellier played?
- PAU vs Montpellier is played on March 19, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Nouste Camp, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.