Păușești vs Jiul Petroşani: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 6Group 6 - 13Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Comunal, Pietrari
The Footlab model makes Jiul Petroşani the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Păușești. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Păușești vs Jiul Petroşani?
Jiul Petroşani starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,484 vs 1,377).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Păușești have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Jiul Petroşani have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | CSM Targu Jiu(home) | 0-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gilortul(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Unirea Bascov(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 9, 2026 | CSM Targu Jiu(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | ARO Muscelul Câmpulung(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Minerul Lupeni(home) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Metalurgistul Cugir(away) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Unirea DMO(away) | 4-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Academica Balș(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Cetatea(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Păușești win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Jiul Petroşani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Păușești 1-0 Jiul Petroşani | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Jiul Petroşani 2-1 Păușești | Liga III - Serie 6 |
Last archived meeting: Păușești vs Jiul Petroşani on Dec 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Păușești score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Jiul Petroşani score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Păușești | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Jiul Petroşani | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Păușești sit 5th in Liga III - Serie 6 (39 points from 7 matches) and Jiul Petroşani sit 4th (37 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jiul Petroşani | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 37 |
| 5 | Păușești | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Păușești vs Jiul Petroşani?
- The Footlab model makes Jiul Petroşani the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Păușești.
- Where and when is Păușești vs Jiul Petroşani played?
- Păușești vs Jiul Petroşani is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Comunal, in the Liga III - Serie 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.