Match

Pavonese vs Rovato Vertovese: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

PavoneseRovato Vertovese

The Footlab AI model makes Pavonese the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Rovato Vertovese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pavonese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pavonese vs Rovato Vertovese?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Pavonese (1,743) and Rovato Vertovese (1,758).

39%28%33%
Pavonese winDrawRovato Vertovese win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Pavonese vs Rovato Vertovese

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Pavonese

Not enough data to predict the Pavonese lineup.

Rovato Vertovese

Not enough data to predict the Rovato Vertovese lineup.

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:19 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Pavonese have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Rovato Vertovese have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pavonese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Pro Palazzolo(home)2-0Serie D - Girone B
Oct 28, 2026Milan II(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 25, 2026Real Calepina(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 18, 2026Fiorenzuola(home)2-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 11, 2026Leon Monza e Brianza(away)0-3Serie D - Girone B
Rovato Vertovese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Caldiero Terme(home)3-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 25, 2026Fiorenzuola(away)1-2Serie D - Girone B
Oct 18, 2026Scanzorosciate(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 11, 2026Milan II(away)2-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 4, 2026Real Calepina(home)0-1Serie D - Girone B

How many goals should we expect?

Pavonese score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 10; Rovato Vertovese score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pavonese1.11.225/103/10
Rovato Vertovese1.31.5210/158/15

Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pavonese sit 8th in Serie D - Girone B (15 points from 10 matches) and Rovato Vertovese sit 13th (10 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Pavonese10433111215
13Rovato Vertovese10244151710

A question about Pavonese vs Rovato Vertovese?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pavonese vs Rovato Vertovese?
The Footlab AI model makes Pavonese the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Rovato Vertovese.
Where and when is Pavonese vs Rovato Vertovese played?
Pavonese vs Rovato Vertovese is played on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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