Virtus Verona vs Caldiero Terme: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Gavagnin-Nocini, Verona
The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Virtus Verona. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Verona vs Caldiero Terme?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Virtus Verona (1,619) and Caldiero Terme (1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Verona have 0 wins, 7 draws and 8 defeats; Caldiero Terme have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 1-4 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vogherese(away) | 6-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Villa Valle(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sondrio(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Brusaporto(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Virtus Verona win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Caldiero Terme win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2025 | Virtus Verona 5-2 Caldiero Terme | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Caldiero Terme 0-3 Virtus Verona | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Virtus Verona 2-2 Caldiero Terme | Coppa Italia Serie C |
Last archived meeting: Virtus Verona vs Caldiero Terme on Feb 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Verona score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Caldiero Terme score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Verona | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Caldiero Terme | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Verona vs Caldiero Terme?
- The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Virtus Verona.
- Where and when is Virtus Verona vs Caldiero Terme played?
- Virtus Verona vs Caldiero Terme is played on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Gavagnin-Nocini, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 2, 2027ChievovsPiacenza
- May 2, 2027TritiumvsPro Palazzolo
- May 2, 2027Virtus Ciserano BergamovsBrusaporto
- May 2, 2027Real CalepinavsNibbiano & Valtidone
- May 2, 2027Leon Monza e BrianzavsScanzorosciate
- May 2, 2027Club MilanovsVilla Valle
- May 2, 2027Milan IIvsFiorenzuola
- May 2, 2027PavonesevsRovato Vertovese