Match

Pazarspor vs İnkılapspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pazar İlçe Stadyumu, Pazar

Pazarsporİnkılapspor

The Footlab model makes Pazarspor the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for İnkılapspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pazarspor vs İnkılapspor?

A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Pazarspor (1,582) and İnkılapspor (1,511).

Pazarspor win47 %
Draw28 %
İnkılapspor win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pazarspor have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; İnkılapspor have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pazarspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Amasyaspor 1968(home)1-03. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026Karabük İdman Yurdu(away)1-03. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026Zonguldak Kömürspor(home)3-33. Lig - Group 3
Mar 29, 2026Düzcespor(away)0-13. Lig - Group 3
Mar 25, 2026Tokat Bld Plevnespor(home)0-03. Lig - Group 3
İnkılapspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Yalova Yeşilovaspor(home)1-03. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026Edirnespor(away)0-23. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026Çankaya FK(home)0-53. Lig - Group 1
Mar 29, 2026Bursa Yıldırımspor(away)0-23. Lig - Group 1
Mar 25, 2026İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik(home)3-13. Lig - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Pazarspor score 1.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; İnkılapspor score 0.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pazarspor1.00.5103/153/15
İnkılapspor0.81.256/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12İnkılapspor307149233635

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pazarspor vs İnkılapspor?
The Footlab model makes Pazarspor the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for İnkılapspor.
Where and when is Pazarspor vs İnkılapspor played?
Pazarspor vs İnkılapspor is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Pazar İlçe Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Pazarspor and İnkılapspor

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