Pazarspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pazar İlçe Stadyumu, Pazar
The Footlab model makes Pazarspor the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Tokat Bld Plevnespor. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pazarspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Pazarspor (1,582) and Tokat Bld Plevnespor (1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pazarspor have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Tokat Bld Plevnespor have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Amasyaspor 1968(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Karabük İdman Yurdu(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Zonguldak Kömürspor(home) | 3-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Düzcespor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Tokat Bld Plevnespor(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Düzcespor(home) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(away) | 0-6 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Giresunspor(home) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Pazarspor(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Pazarspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Tokat Bld Plevnespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Pazarspor 0-0 Tokat Bld Plevnespor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1-2 Pazarspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Pazarspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor on Mar 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pazarspor score 1.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tokat Bld Plevnespor score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pazarspor | 1.0 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Tokat Bld Plevnespor | 1.1 | 1.2 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pazarspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor?
- The Footlab model makes Pazarspor the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Tokat Bld Plevnespor.
- Where and when is Pazarspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor played?
- Pazarspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Pazar İlçe Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2026Beykoz AnadoluvsKartal Bulvarspor
- Oct 18, 2026Zonguldak KömürsporvsBeykoz İshaklıspor
- Oct 18, 2026Orduspor 1967vsKaradeniz Ereğli BSK
- Oct 18, 2026Karabük İdman YurduvsSilivrispor
- Oct 18, 2026Küçükçekmece SinopsporvsDüzcespor
- Oct 18, 2026Yalova YeşilovasporvsAmasyaspor 1968
- Oct 18, 2026GalatavsFatsa Belediyespor
- Oct 18, 2026İnkılapsporvsGölcükspor