Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Amasyaspor 1968: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Yalova Atatürk Stadyumu, Yalova
The Footlab model makes Yalova Yeşilovaspor the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Amasyaspor 1968. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Amasyaspor 1968?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Yalova Yeşilovaspor (1,548) and Amasyaspor 1968 (1,518).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yalova Yeşilovaspor have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Amasyaspor 1968 have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | İnkılapspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(home) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Etimesgut SK(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1926 Polatlı Belediye(home) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Nilüfer Belediye(away) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Pazarspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Artvin Hopaspor(away) | 1-4 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Karadeniz Ereğli BSK(home) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Sebat Gençlikspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Yalova Yeşilovaspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Amasyaspor 1968 score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yalova Yeşilovaspor | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Amasyaspor 1968 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Yalova Yeşilovaspor | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 36 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Amasyaspor 1968?
- The Footlab model makes Yalova Yeşilovaspor the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Amasyaspor 1968.
- Where and when is Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Amasyaspor 1968 played?
- Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Amasyaspor 1968 is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yalova Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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