Peña Sport vs Ebro: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo San Francisco, Tafalla
The Footlab AI model makes Peña Sport the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Ebro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Peña Sport wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peña Sport vs Ebro?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Peña Sport (1,912) and Ebro (1,940).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Peña Sport vs Ebro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Peña Sport
Not enough data to predict the Peña Sport lineup.
Ebro
Not enough data to predict the Ebro lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peña Sport have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ebro have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Náxara(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | SD Logroñés(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Barcelona B(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Espanyol II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Manresa(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Calamocha(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arnedo(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Terrassa(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Osasuna II(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Reddis(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Peña Sport score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ebro score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peña Sport | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Ebro | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Peña Sport sit 13th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (7 points from 6 matches) and Ebro sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ebro | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 13 | Peña Sport | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Peña Sport vs Ebro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peña Sport vs Ebro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Peña Sport the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Ebro.
- Where and when is Peña Sport vs Ebro played?
- Peña Sport vs Ebro is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo San Francisco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.