Penafiel vs Alverca: result 3-2 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 8, 2025 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
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What was the result of Penafiel vs Alverca?
Penafiel won 3-2 on March 8, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 3′Diogo BatistaPenafiel
- 12′AgeuAlverca
- 42′MagaPenafiel
- 45′João LimaAlverca
- 79′Tiago RodriguesPenafiel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Alverca have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | União de Leiria(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Portimonense(home) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 16, 2025 | FC Porto B(away) | 2-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Tondela(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Mafra(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Leixoes(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Maritimo(home) | 5-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Academico Viseu(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 2, 2025 | União de Leiria(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Penafiel win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Alverca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | Alverca 2-2 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alverca score 2.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Alverca | 2.2 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Penafiel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy