Penafiel vs Aves: result 1-3 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 18, 2016 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
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What was the result of Penafiel vs Aves?
Aves won 1-3 on December 18, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 8′Tiago ValenteAves
- 10′Fábio FortesPenafiel (pen.)
- 42′Alexandre GuedesAves
- 68′Alexandre GuedesAves
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Aves have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2016 | Academica(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Dec 10, 2016 | Santa Clara(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 4, 2016 | Freamunde(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Sporting CP B(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 23, 2016 | Academico Viseu(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2016 | U. Madeira(home) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 4, 2016 | Famalicao(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Portimonense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 23, 2016 | SC Covilha(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Academica(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aves score 1.8 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Aves | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Penafiel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy