Penafiel vs Estoril: result 1-2 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2014 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
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What was the result of Penafiel vs Estoril?
Estoril won 1-2 on November 1, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 7′Emidio Rafael Augusto da SilvaEstoril
- 68′TozéEstoril
- 85′Tiago André Coelho LopesPenafiel (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 1 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Estoril have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2014 | Rio Ave(away) | 2-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Moreirense(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Maritimo(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2014 | Belenenses(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 23, 2014 | Dynamo(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 5, 2014 | GIL Vicente(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 2, 2014 | Panathinaikos(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Benfica(home) | 2-3 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 0.6 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 8; Estoril score 1.1 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 0.6 | 2.0 | 2 | 2/8 | 4/8 |
| Estoril | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy