Penafiel vs Farense: result 2-3 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 23, 2018 at 11:15 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
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What was the result of Penafiel vs Farense?
Farense won 2-3 on December 23, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 7′Fábio NunesFarense
- 34′C. IrobisoFarense
- 37′Jorge Da Costa PiresPenafiel
- 55′Fábio NunesFarense
- 60′Fábio AbreuPenafiel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Farense have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2018 | Varzim(away) | 4-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 9, 2018 | Guimaraes B(home) | 3-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 2, 2018 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 25, 2018 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 1-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 10, 2018 | Benfica B(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2018 | Estoril(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 6, 2018 | Benfica B(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 2, 2018 | SC Covilha(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 18, 2018 | Mafra(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 10, 2018 | Guimaraes B(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Farense score 1.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Farense | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penafiel sit 7th in Segunda Liga (4 points from 3 matches) and Farense sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Farense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Penafiel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy