Penafiel vs Nacional: result 2-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 13, 2014 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
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What was the result of Penafiel vs Nacional?
Penafiel won 2-1 on December 13, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 41′H. QuiñónesPenafiel
- 47′Tiago André Coelho LopesPenafiel
- 80′Suk Hyun-JunNacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 2 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Nacional have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2014 | Arouca(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 29, 2014 | SC Braga(home) | 1-6 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 9, 2014 | Boavista(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Estoril(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 27, 2014 | Rio Ave(away) | 2-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2014 | Maritimo(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 30, 2014 | GIL Vicente(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 9, 2014 | Benfica(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 1, 2014 | FC Porto(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 26, 2014 | Academica(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 0.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 12; Nacional score 0.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 0.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 4/12 | 6/12 |
| Nacional | 0.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy