Penafiel vs Tondela: result 1-0 and analysis
Taça da Liga2nd RoundKick-off on August 3, 2019 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
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What was the result of Penafiel vs Tondela?
Penafiel won 1-0 on August 3, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 74′Jorge Da Costa PiresPenafiel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Tondela have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2019 | Academico Viseu(home) | 1-0 | Taça da Liga |
| May 19, 2019 | Leixoes(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| May 11, 2019 | Academico Viseu(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| May 4, 2019 | Oliveirense(home) | 2-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 28, 2019 | Estoril(home) | 4-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2019 | Chaves(home) | 5-2 | Primeira Liga |
| May 11, 2019 | Sporting CP(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| May 5, 2019 | Santa Clara(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 28, 2019 | Maritimo(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Boavista(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tondela score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Tondela | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy