Penang vs Selangor: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 08:45 AM (UTC)Stadium Bandar Raya Pulau Pinang, George Town
The Footlab model makes Selangor the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Penang. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penang vs Selangor?
Selangor starts as the favourite with a 290-point Elo edge (1,818 vs 1,529).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penang have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Selangor have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 15, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 8, 2026 | Pdrm(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Selangor(away) | 0-4 | Super League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kelantan Red Warrior FC(away) | 4-1 | Super League |
| May 27, 2026 | Buriram United(away) | 1-2 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 20, 2026 | Buriram United(home) | 0-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 17, 2026 | Pdrm(home) | 6-0 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Nam Dinh(away) | 2-0 | ASEAN Club Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Penang win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Selangor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Selangor 4-0 Penang | Super League |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Penang 1-5 Selangor | Super League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Penang 1-1 Selangor | Super League |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Selangor 4-1 Penang | Super League |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Selangor 3-0 Penang | Super League |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Penang 1-2 Selangor | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Penang score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Selangor score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penang | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Selangor | 2.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penang sit 10th in Super League (0 points from 1 matches) and Selangor sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Selangor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Penang | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penang vs Selangor?
- The Footlab model makes Selangor the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Penang.
- Where and when is Penang vs Selangor played?
- Penang vs Selangor is played on April 3, 2027 at 08:45 AM (UTC) at Stadium Bandar Raya Pulau Pinang, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.