Penarol vs Boston River: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 3Kick-off on February 20, 2023 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Penarol vs Boston River?
Penarol won 1-0 on February 20, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 38′A. HernándezPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Boston River have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | La Luz(away) | 4-3 | Primera División |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Cerro(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jan 23, 2023 | Club Nacional(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 23, 2023 | Nacional(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Union Santa Fe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2023 | Zamora FC(away) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Cerro(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Feb 10, 2023 | Zamora FC(home) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jan 27, 2023 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Penarol win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Boston River win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2022 | Boston River 2-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 28, 2022 | Penarol 0-0 Boston River | Copa Uruguay |
| May 21, 2022 | Penarol 1-0 Boston River | Primera División |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Boston River 2-5 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 30, 2021 | Penarol 5-2 Boston River | Primera División |
| Feb 7, 2021 | Boston River 1-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Boston River vs Penarol on Oct 12, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Boston River score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Boston River | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Boston River sit 13th (17 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Boston River | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
| 11 | Boston River | 62 | 22 | 18 | 22 | 74 | 72 | 84 |
| 11 | Boston River | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 33 | 29 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 17 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy