Penarol vs Central Espanol: result 3-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 6, 2012 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Central Espanol?
Penarol won 3-0 on October 6, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 5′Juan Manuel Olivera LópezPenarol
- 38′Juan Manuel Olivera LópezPenarol (pen.)
- 49′M. ZalayetaPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Central Espanol have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2012 | Danubio(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Cerro(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 16, 2012 | Bella Vista(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 2, 2012 | CA River Plate(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 26, 2012 | Fenix(away) | 3-4 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2012 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Wanderers(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 14, 2012 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 2, 2012 | Juventud(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 26, 2012 | El Tanque Sisley(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Central Espanol score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Central Espanol | 1.5 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Central Espanol sit 5th (24 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 24 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Central Espanol | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 36 |
| 8 | Central Espanol | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 36 |
| 11 | Central Espanol | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy