Penarol vs Cerro: result 3-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 13Kick-off on April 27, 2025 at 09:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Cerro?
Penarol won 3-1 on April 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 10′L. HernándezPenarol
- 39′M. SilveraPenarol
- 56′D. TeransPenarol (pen.)
- 58′S. CamachoCerro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Cerro have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2025 | Olimpia(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Wanderers(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Miramar(home) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 9, 2025 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Danubio(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2025 | Atletico Torque(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Progreso(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Miramar(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Penarol win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Cerro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2024 | Cerro 0-5 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Penarol 3-0 Cerro | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Cerro 1-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Penarol 2-0 Cerro | Primera División |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Cerro 1-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Penarol 2-1 Cerro | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Cerro | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Cerro sit 16th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy