Penarol vs Cerro: result 3-2 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 2, 2018 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Cerro?
Penarol won 3-2 on September 2, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 43′L. AcevedoCerro
- 55′C. RodríguezPenarol
- 63′L. AcevedoCerro
- 87′M. RodríguezPenarol
- 88′Lucas Ezequiel ViatriPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Cerro have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2018 | Boston River(away) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 12, 2018 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 4-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 4, 2018 | Wanderers(home) | 3-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 29, 2018 | CA River Plate(away) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 21, 2018 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2018 | Progreso(home) | 5-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 19, 2018 | Boston River(away) | 3-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 11, 2018 | Club Nacional(home) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 29, 2018 | Fenix(home) | 0-5 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 21, 2018 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Penarol win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Cerro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2018 | Cerro 0-3 Penarol | Primera División |
| Nov 25, 2017 | Cerro 0-4 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 7, 2017 | Penarol 1-2 Cerro | Primera División |
| Nov 19, 2016 | Penarol 1-2 Cerro | Primera División |
| Feb 7, 2016 | Penarol 2-1 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 16, 2015 | Cerro 0-3 Penarol | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 2.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Cerro | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 2nd in Primera División - Clausura (78 points from 37 matches) and Cerro sit 10th (46 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 10 | Cerro | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | 46 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy