Penarol vs Cerro: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraRegular Season - 8Kick-off on March 22, 2014 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Penarol vs Cerro?
Cerro won 0-1 on March 22, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 60′J. DelgadoCerro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Cerro have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2014 | El Tanque Sisley(away) | 4-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 9, 2014 | Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 5, 2014 | Rentistas(home) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 1, 2014 | Danubio(away) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 23, 2014 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2014 | CA River Plate(away) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 15, 2014 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 3-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 9, 2014 | SUD America(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 1, 2014 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 22, 2014 | Rentistas(away) | 1-4 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Penarol win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cerro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2013 | Cerro 1-0 Penarol | Primera División |
| Mar 16, 2013 | Cerro 1-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Penarol 2-1 Cerro | Primera División |
| Apr 28, 2012 | Penarol 3-1 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Cerro | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 2nd in Primera División - Clausura (78 points from 37 matches) and Cerro sit 10th (46 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 10 | Cerro | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | 46 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy