Penarol vs Cerro Largo: result 0-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 9Kick-off on March 30, 2025 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Penarol vs Cerro Largo?
Cerro Largo won 0-2 on March 30, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 28′N. BertochiCerro Largo
- 76′L. OtormínCerro Largo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Cerro Largo have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | Juventud(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 24, 2025 | CA River Plate(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | Atletico Torque(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 17, 2025 | Cerro(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Wanderers(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Danubio(home) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Penarol win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Cerro Largo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2024 | Penarol 0-0 Cerro Largo | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Cerro Largo 1-2 Penarol | Primera División |
| Nov 15, 2023 | Penarol 1-1 Cerro Largo | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Cerro Largo 0-0 Penarol | Primera División |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Cerro Largo 0-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 4, 2022 | Penarol 0-1 Cerro Largo | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Penarol vs Cerro Largo on Aug 17, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro Largo score 1.4 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Cerro Largo | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Cerro Largo sit 12th (17 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 27 | 31 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 17 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 62 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 67 | 68 | 80 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy