Penarol vs Club Nacional: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 5Kick-off on April 5, 2017 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Club Nacional?
Penarol and Club Nacional drew 1-1 on April 5, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 30′J. AriasPenarol
- 90′R. AguirreClub Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Club Nacional have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2017 | SUD America(home) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 25, 2017 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 19, 2017 | Rampla Juniors(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 11, 2017 | Fenix(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 25, 2017 | Wanderers(away) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2017 | Boston River(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Mar 29, 2017 | CA River Plate(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 26, 2017 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 18, 2017 | El Tanque Sisley(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 12, 2017 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Penarol win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Club Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2016 | Penarol 0-3 Club Nacional | Primera División |
| May 15, 2016 | Penarol 2-2 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 8, 2015 | Club Nacional 1-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| May 17, 2015 | Penarol 1-1 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 9, 2014 | Club Nacional 2-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| Apr 27, 2014 | Penarol 5-0 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Penarol vs Club Nacional on Nov 27, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Club Nacional score 1.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Club Nacional | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Club Nacional sit 7th (22 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 61 | 35 | 12 | 14 | 111 | 66 | 114 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 35 |
| 15 | Club Nacional | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy