Penarol vs Club Nacional: result 2-2 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraRegular Season - 12Kick-off on May 15, 2016 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Penarol vs Club Nacional?
Penarol and Club Nacional drew 2-2 on May 15, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 49′D. PolentaClub Nacional (pen.)
- 62′M. AguirregarayPenarol
- 67′D. PolentaClub Nacional (pen.)
- 90′Marcel Novick RettichPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Club Nacional have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2016 | Villa Teresa(away) | 3-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 30, 2016 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 24, 2016 | Rentistas(away) | 3-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 9, 2016 | Danubio(home) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 3, 2016 | CA River Plate(home) | 0-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2016 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 30, 2016 | SUD America(away) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 23, 2016 | Fenix(home) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 10, 2016 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 4-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 2, 2016 | El Tanque Sisley(home) | 3-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Penarol win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Club Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2015 | Club Nacional 1-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| May 17, 2015 | Penarol 1-1 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 9, 2014 | Club Nacional 2-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| Apr 27, 2014 | Penarol 5-0 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 24, 2013 | Club Nacional 2-3 Penarol | Primera División |
| May 5, 2013 | Club Nacional 0-3 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Club Nacional vs Penarol on Nov 8, 2015
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Club Nacional score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.6 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Club Nacional | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 2nd in Primera División - Clausura (78 points from 37 matches) and Club Nacional sit 1st (79 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Nacional | 37 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 76 | 33 | 79 |
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy