Penarol vs Danubio: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraRegular Season - 8Kick-off on April 9, 2016 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Danubio?
Penarol won 2-1 on April 9, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 20′N. AlbarracínPenarol
- 28′C. PalaciosPenarol
- 78′Carlos Javier GrossmüllerDanubio (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Danubio have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2016 | CA River Plate(home) | 0-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 19, 2016 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 5, 2016 | SUD America(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 27, 2016 | Fenix(away) | 0-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 21, 2016 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 5-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2016 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 19, 2016 | SUD America(away) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 6, 2016 | Fenix(home) | 0-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 28, 2016 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 2-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 21, 2016 | El Tanque Sisley(home) | 3-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Penarol win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Danubio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2015 | Danubio 0-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| Apr 11, 2015 | Penarol 2-3 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Danubio 1-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| Mar 1, 2014 | Danubio 0-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Penarol 1-2 Danubio | Primera División |
| Mar 23, 2013 | Penarol 0-1 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Danubio score 1.4 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.6 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Danubio | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 2nd in Primera División - Clausura (78 points from 37 matches) and Danubio sit 11th (43 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 11 | Danubio | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 41 | 43 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy