Penarol vs Danubio: result 2-3 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraRegular Season - 8Kick-off on April 11, 2015 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Danubio?
Danubio won 2-3 on April 11, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 4′H. PereiraDanubio
- 9′M. TabárezDanubio (pen.)
- 38′M. ZalayetaPenarol
- 52′Diogo BittencourtPenarol
- 66′C. ValdezDanubio (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Danubio have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2015 | CA River Plate(away) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 28, 2015 | El Tanque Sisley(home) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 21, 2015 | SUD America(away) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 15, 2015 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 8, 2015 | Tacuarembo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2015 | Fenix(home) | 3-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 28, 2015 | Rentistas(away) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 22, 2015 | Club Nacional(home) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 14, 2015 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 7, 2015 | Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Penarol win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Danubio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2014 | Danubio 1-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| Mar 1, 2014 | Danubio 0-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Penarol 1-2 Danubio | Primera División |
| Mar 23, 2013 | Penarol 0-1 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Danubio 0-0 Penarol | Primera División |
| Apr 1, 2012 | Danubio 3-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Danubio score 1.1 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 2.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Danubio | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 2nd in Primera División - Clausura (78 points from 37 matches) and Danubio sit 11th (43 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 11 | Danubio | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 41 | 43 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy