Danubio vs Penarol: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 4, 2014 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Danubio vs Penarol?
Danubio and Penarol drew 1-1 on October 4, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 2′Luis Miguel De Los Santos CáceresDanubio
- 78′Jorge Marcelo Rodríguez NúñezPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Danubio have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Penarol have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2014 | Fenix(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Rentistas(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Club Nacional(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 6, 2014 | Rampla Juniors(home) | 5-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Wanderers(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2014 | CA River Plate(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 20, 2014 | El Tanque Sisley(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 12, 2014 | SUD America(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 6, 2014 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Tacuarembo(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Danubio win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2014 | Danubio 0-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Penarol 1-2 Danubio | Primera División |
| Mar 23, 2013 | Penarol 0-1 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Danubio 0-0 Penarol | Primera División |
| Apr 1, 2012 | Danubio 3-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Danubio score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.9 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Penarol | 1.9 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Danubio sit 11th in Primera División (18 points from 15 matches) and Penarol sit 4th (27 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy