Penarol vs Danubio: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraRegular Season - 5Kick-off on March 23, 2013 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Danubio?
Danubio won 0-1 on March 23, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 53′Néstor Fabián Canobbio BentaberryDanubio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 11 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats; Danubio have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2013 | Cerro(away) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 9, 2013 | Bella Vista(home) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 3, 2013 | CA River Plate(away) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 23, 2013 | Fenix(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Dec 10, 2012 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2013 | Juventud(home) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 10, 2013 | Wanderers(away) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 2, 2013 | Progreso(away) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 24, 2013 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Dec 8, 2012 | Cerro Largo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Penarol win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Danubio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2012 | Danubio 0-0 Penarol | Primera División |
| Apr 1, 2012 | Danubio 3-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 2.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Danubio score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 2.2 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Danubio | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 2nd in Primera División - Clausura (78 points from 37 matches) and Danubio sit 11th (43 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 11 | Danubio | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 41 | 43 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy