Penarol vs Defensor Sporting: result 4-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 15Kick-off on May 5, 2018 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Defensor Sporting?
Penarol won 4-1 on May 5, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 17′A. CougoDefensor Sporting
- 34′Rodrigo Rojo PiazzePenarol
- 60′C. PalaciosPenarol
- 63′C. PalaciosPenarol
- 86′F. FormilianoPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Defensor Sporting have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2018 | Progreso(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 22, 2018 | Club Nacional(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 14, 2018 | Fenix(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 8, 2018 | Rampla Juniors(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 31, 2018 | Atletico Torque(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2018 | Boston River(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 13, 2018 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 8, 2018 | Wanderers(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 1, 2018 | CA River Plate(home) | 5-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 28, 2018 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Penarol win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Defensor Sporting win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2017 | Penarol 3-1 Defensor Sporting | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 25, 2017 | Defensor Sporting 2-2 Penarol | Primera División |
| Dec 10, 2016 | Penarol 0-2 Defensor Sporting | Primera División |
| Feb 21, 2016 | Penarol 5-1 Defensor Sporting | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 30, 2015 | Defensor Sporting 3-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| Mar 15, 2015 | Penarol 2-0 Defensor Sporting | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Penarol vs Defensor Sporting on Nov 5, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 2.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Defensor Sporting score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 2.1 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Defensor Sporting | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Defensor Sporting sit 8th (21 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 62 | 24 | 17 | 21 | 62 | 64 | 89 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 21 |
| 12 | Defensor Sporting | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 20 | 26 | 28 |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy