Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 5Kick-off on March 5, 2023 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Penarol won 2-1 on March 5, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 25′M. CanteraDeportivo Maldonado
- 29′C. SánchezPenarol
- 71′M. ArezoPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Deportivo Maldonado have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 20, 2023 | Boston River(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 14, 2023 | La Luz(away) | 4-3 | Primera División |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Cerro(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jan 23, 2023 | Club Nacional(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 0-4 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Boston River(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Cerro(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 10, 2023 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Penarol win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Deportivo Maldonado win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2022 | Deportivo Maldonado 1-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 19, 2022 | Deportivo Maldonado 1-3 Penarol | Primera División |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Penarol 1-1 Deportivo Maldonado | Primera División |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 20, 2021 | Penarol 4-0 Deportivo Maldonado | Primera División |
| Feb 11, 2021 | Penarol 1-1 Deportivo Maldonado | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Maldonado vs Penarol on Aug 22, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Maldonado score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Deportivo Maldonado | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Deportivo Maldonado sit 2nd (29 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 29 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 40 | 24 | 46 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 40 | 24 | 46 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 6 | Deportivo Maldonado | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy